Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-21 · 17:00
11.8551.5%
X3.8524.7%
24.0123.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
LDLWWWWDLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Napoli
WWWWLLWWLL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
2.30
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
6.10N=10
2.30
Against
3.20
8.00
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
3.50
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.10goals per match
Napoli conceded1.10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.70goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
2.30
Corners against
3.20
8.00
Match total
9.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.00
Match total
5.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
28.20
Match total
23.70

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
5.90
On target
6.90
17%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.5%43.1%-8.4 pp
Draw24.7%32.3%+7.6 pp
Away23.8%24.6%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS58.5%

Historical average

1.580.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-123.1%
2-010.8%
0-110.8%
1-27.7%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.955.11
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI
Draw FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI
Away FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals5.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.0%
Away65.0%