Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-21 · 14:00
13.6126.4%
X3.6326.3%
22.0247.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
WDDWDWLWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Inter
DWDWWWLDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
0.80
80%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.80
2.00
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
6.90N=10
4.90
Against
3.80
12.10
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
0.80
3.70
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Milan attack

2.20goals per match
Inter conceded0.80
Matchup

Inter attack

1.70goals per match
Milan conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.80
12.10
Match total
10.70
100%10/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.80
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
29.50
Match total
27.90

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
7.10
On target
6.10
16%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches63
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.4%22.2%-4.2 pp
Draw26.3%30.2%+3.9 pp
Away47.3%47.6%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.538.1%
BTTS65.1%

Historical average

1.171.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.1%
1-111.1%
0-09.5%
2-29.5%
1-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.305.78
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=63.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.8%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.0%5.2%–36.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%29.9%–70.1% CI
Away FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away55.0%