Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-20 · 17:00
12.7634.5%
X3.0131.7%
22.8233.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
LLLLLDDWWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Verona
DDWWDWDLLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
1.60
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

2.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.70
Against
6.60
9.00
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.20goals per match
Verona conceded1.20
Matchup

Verona attack

1.10goals per match
Genoa conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.30N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
6.70
Corners against
6.60
9.00
Match total
9.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.00
Match total
4.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
25.20
Match total
28.70

Shots

6.30N=10
Shots
6.10N=10
3.80
On target
2.40
19%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches104
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.5%28.8%-5.7 pp
Draw31.7%28.8%-2.8 pp
Away33.8%42.3%+8.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.515.4%
BTTS44.2%

Historical average

1.001.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.4%
0-013.5%
0-111.5%
1-010.6%
1-19.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.054.68
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=103.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.536.9%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%10.5%–34.8% CI
Draw FT45.0%30.7%–60.2% CI
Away FT35.0%22.1%–50.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.0%
2+ goals27.5%
3+ goals7.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.0%
Away45.0%