Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-20 · 14:00
11.6757.2%
X4.1123.2%
24.8719.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
DWDLLWWWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Sampdoria
WWLDLWLLWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.90
Against
5.10
11.50
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.60goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.30
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.40goals per match
Lazio conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.10
11.50
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.10
Match total
5.10
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
26.80
Match total
29.70

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
7.00N=10
5.40
On target
3.80
16%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches72
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.2%58.3%+1.2 pp
Draw23.2%19.4%-3.8 pp
Away19.6%22.2%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.531.9%
BTTS59.7%

Historical average

1.861.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.7%
2-09.7%
2-28.3%
3-18.3%
1-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.933.92
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=72.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.1%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.522.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away40.0%