Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-19 · 19:45
12.8733.3%
X3.2629.3%
22.5637.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
WWDLDLLLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Torino
DWLLLDWLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.80
1.80
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
2.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.20N=10
6.60
Against
5.90
11.10
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.80
1.80
Goals conceded
2.10
3.10
Total goals
3.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.30goals per match
Torino conceded2.10
Matchup

Torino attack

1.80goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
6.60
Corners against
5.90
11.10
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.60
Match total
5.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
26.20
Match total
33.70

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.90
On target
6.10
13%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches195
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.3%30.3%-3.1 pp
Draw29.3%27.2%-2.2 pp
Away37.4%42.6%+5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.131.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
0-110.8%
1-29.7%
2-18.7%
1-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.045.02
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=195.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.2%14.1%–35.8% CI
Draw FT32.1%21.4%–45.2% CI
Away FT44.6%32.4%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals41.1%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.9%
Away58.9%