Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-19 · 17:30
12.0247.3%
X3.3228.8%
23.9923.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
LWLDDDDWWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Spezia
LDWDLLWDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
2.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.80
Against
5.00
9.40
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
2.10
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.00goals per match
Spezia conceded1.90
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.60goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.00
9.40
Match total
8.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.70
Match total
4.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
26.50
Match total
29.20

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.30
On target
4.60
9%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches233
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.3%45.5%-1.8 pp
Draw28.8%28.3%-0.4 pp
Away23.9%26.2%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS54.9%

Historical average

1.531.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
2-110.7%
2-09.9%
1-09.0%
0-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.754.21
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=233.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.1%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.9%23.2%–44.3% CI
Draw FT42.5%31.8%–53.9% CI
Away FT24.7%16.2%–35.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.6%
2+ goals38.4%
3+ goals11.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.7%
Away45.2%