Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 17:00
13.7425.5%
X3.7225.6%
21.9548.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crotone
LDLLLWWLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Sassuolo
WWWDDWLLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
2.00
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

2.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.70
Against
8.10
8.30
Total
13.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
2.00
Goals conceded
1.70
3.30
Total goals
3.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Crotone attack

1.30goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.70
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.60goals per match
Crotone conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.70
Corners against
8.10
8.30
Match total
13.40
30%3/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
0%0/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.60
Match total
5.30
100%10/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
30.20
Match total
24.40

Shots

7.80N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.80
On target
5.10
17%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches77
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.5%26.0%+0.5 pp
Draw25.6%23.4%-2.2 pp
Away48.9%50.6%+1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.539.0%
BTTS66.2%

Historical average

1.211.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
1-210.4%
1-07.8%
3-17.8%
1-46.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.185.62
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=77.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.526.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Draw FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Away FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away54.5%