Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 17:00
13.7425.5%
X3.7225.6%
21.9548.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crotone
LDLLLWWLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Sassuolo
WWWDDWLLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.60
2.00
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
2.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.70
Against
8.10
8.30
Total
13.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
2.00
Goals conceded
1.70
3.30
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crotone attack
1.30goals per matchSassuolo conceded1.70Matchup
Sassuolo attack
1.60goals per matchCrotone conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.70
Corners against
8.10
8.30
Match total
13.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.60
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.30N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
30.20
Match total
24.40
Shots
7.80N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.80
On target
5.10
17%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches77
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.5%26.0%+0.5 pp
Draw25.6%23.4%-2.2 pp
Away48.9%50.6%+1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.539.0%
BTTS66.2%
Historical average
1.21–1.82
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.0%
1-210.4%
1-07.8%
3-17.8%
1-46.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.18–5.62
Average total9.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=77.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.526.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Draw FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Away FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away54.5%