Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 14:00
12.8333.6%
X3.3228.6%
22.5237.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sampdoria
LWDLLWLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Fiorentina
LDLDLLWLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
2.20
80%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.60
Against
4.80
12.70
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
2.20
3.30
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sampdoria attack
1.70goals per matchFiorentina conceded2.20Matchup
Fiorentina attack
1.00goals per matchSampdoria conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.80
12.70
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.60
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
24.90
Match total
29.50
Shots
8.80N=10
Shots
6.90N=10
4.80
On target
4.00
19%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches117
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%35.0%+1.4 pp
Draw28.6%29.9%+1.3 pp
Away37.7%35.0%-2.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.528.2%
BTTS58.1%
Historical average
1.33–1.32
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.4%
0-110.3%
2-18.5%
0-07.7%
1-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.32–5.07
Average total10.38
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=117.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.1%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.548.7%
Over 11.535.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.9%17.0%–44.8% CI
Draw FT39.5%25.6%–55.3% CI
Away FT31.6%19.1%–47.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals39.5%
3+ goals18.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away57.9%