Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 14:00
12.8333.6%
X3.3228.6%
22.5237.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sampdoria
LWDLLWLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Fiorentina
LDLDLLWLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
2.20
80%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.60
Against
4.80
12.70
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
2.20
3.30
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.70goals per match
Fiorentina conceded2.20
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.00goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.80
12.70
Match total
8.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.60
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
24.90
Match total
29.50

Shots

8.80N=10
Shots
6.90N=10
4.80
On target
4.00
19%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches117
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%35.0%+1.4 pp
Draw28.6%29.9%+1.3 pp
Away37.7%35.0%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.528.2%
BTTS58.1%

Historical average

1.331.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
0-110.3%
2-18.5%
0-07.7%
1-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.325.07
Average total10.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=117.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.1%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.548.7%
Over 11.535.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.9%17.0%–44.8% CI
Draw FT39.5%25.6%–55.3% CI
Away FT31.6%19.1%–47.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals39.5%
3+ goals18.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away57.9%