Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 14:00
16.8413.9%
X4.8119.7%
21.4366.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
LWWDLDLLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Atalanta
WWLWDDDWDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.20
1.90
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
2.20
1.80
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.20N=10
6.60
Against
2.80
10.80
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.20
1.90
Goals conceded
1.30
3.20
Total goals
3.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.30goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.30
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.20goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
6.60
Corners against
2.80
10.80
Match total
8.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.20
Match total
4.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
17.90N=10
25.20
Match total
31.60

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
4.10
On target
7.30
13%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.9%6.9%-7.0 pp
Draw19.7%20.7%+1.0 pp
Away66.4%72.4%+6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.1%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.534.5%
BTTS34.5%

Historical average

0.522.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-327.6%
1-117.2%
0-413.8%
0-210.3%
1-46.9%

Comparable corner averages

3.726.48
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.548.3%
Over 11.537.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away80.0%