Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-12 · 19:45
11.8850.8%
X3.5726.8%
24.2722.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bologna
WLWLWLDDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Benevento
WLLWDLWWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.20
1.90
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
2.20
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.60
Against
5.20
11.10
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded
2.00
3.70
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bologna attack
1.80goals per matchBenevento conceded2.00Matchup
Benevento attack
1.20goals per matchBologna conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
1.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.20
11.10
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.50
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.20N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
26.90
Match total
27.30
Shots
10.50N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
6.10
On target
4.10
17%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches81
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.8%55.6%+4.7 pp
Draw26.8%25.9%-0.8 pp
Away22.4%18.5%-3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS58.0%
Historical average
1.89–1.10
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.6%
3-011.1%
1-08.6%
2-18.6%
1-26.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.74–4.25
Average total9.99
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=81.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.0%34.2%–74.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Away FT15.0%5.2%–36.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.0%
Away30.0%