Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-12 · 19:45
11.8850.8%
X3.5726.8%
24.2722.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
WLWLWLDDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Benevento
WLLWDLWWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.20
1.90
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.60
Against
5.20
11.10
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded
2.00
3.70
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.80goals per match
Benevento conceded2.00
Matchup

Benevento attack

1.20goals per match
Bologna conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
1.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.20
11.10
Match total
10.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.50
Match total
5.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
26.90
Match total
27.30

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
6.10
On target
4.10
17%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches81
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.8%55.6%+4.7 pp
Draw26.8%25.9%-0.8 pp
Away22.4%18.5%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS58.0%

Historical average

1.891.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
3-011.1%
1-08.6%
2-18.6%
1-26.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.744.25
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=81.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.0%34.2%–74.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Away FT15.0%5.2%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away30.0%