Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-07 · 19:45
11.3869.1%
X5.0518.9%
27.9312.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lazio
LDWDLLWWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Cagliari
DLWLLDDLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.00
Against
6.20
11.10
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.90
3.00
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lazio attack
1.60goals per matchCagliari conceded1.90Matchup
Cagliari attack
1.10goals per matchLazio conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.00
Corners against
6.20
11.10
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
6.60
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
26.50
Match total
25.60
Shots
9.80N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
5.60
On target
4.00
16%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.1%73.3%+4.2 pp
Draw18.9%10.0%-8.9 pp
Away12.0%16.7%+4.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
2.53–0.83
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-013.3%
2-113.3%
6-110.0%
2-010.0%
1-26.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.30–3.90
Average total10.20
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=30.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.543.3%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.523.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away40.0%