Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-07 · 19:45
11.3869.1%
X5.0518.9%
27.9312.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
LDWDLLWWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Cagliari
DLWLLDDLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.00
Against
6.20
11.10
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.90
3.00
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.60goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.90
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.10goals per match
Lazio conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.00
Corners against
6.20
11.10
Match total
10.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
6.60
Match total
3.60
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
26.50
Match total
25.60

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
5.60
On target
4.00
16%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.1%73.3%+4.2 pp
Draw18.9%10.0%-8.9 pp
Away12.0%16.7%+4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.530.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-013.3%
2-113.3%
6-110.0%
2-010.0%
1-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.303.90
Average total10.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=30.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.543.3%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.523.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away40.0%