Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-07 · 17:00
13.2729.1%
X3.2429.4%
22.3041.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
LWDDDDLLLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Bologna
LLLWLDDDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.30
Scored
0.70
1.50
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
40%
10%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
0.90
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
6.30N=10
4.50
Against
5.80
10.70
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
1.80
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Parma attack

0.30goals per match
Bologna conceded1.60
Matchup

Bologna attack

0.70goals per match
Parma conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.80
10.70
Match total
12.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
4.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
27.40
Match total
26.10

Shots

9.10N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.80
On target
5.60
3%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches122
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.1%27.9%-1.3 pp
Draw29.4%25.4%-4.0 pp
Away41.4%46.7%+5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS52.5%

Historical average

1.101.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.9%
1-113.9%
1-210.7%
0-28.2%
1-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.564.87
Average total9.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=122.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.547.5%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.524.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.6%19.1%–47.5% CI
Draw FT36.8%23.4%–52.7% CI
Away FT31.6%19.1%–47.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals18.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away57.9%