Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-07 · 14:00
11.2377.7%
X6.4714.8%
212.777.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
WWDDWDWLWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Crotone
LLLDLDLLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
2.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
2.20
1.80
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.70
Against
5.60
11.80
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
2.60
3.50
Total goals
3.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Milan attack

2.00goals per match
Crotone conceded2.60
Matchup

Crotone attack

0.90goals per match
Milan conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.60
11.80
Match total
8.30
100%10/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.20
Match total
5.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
29.90
Match total
28.20

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
6.50
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.7%78.1%+0.4 pp
Draw14.8%15.6%+0.8 pp
Away7.5%6.3%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

2.500.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-128.1%
2-012.5%
2-29.4%
1-16.3%
3-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.842.91
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.534.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%61.5%–92.7% CI
Draw FT13.6%4.7%–33.3% CI
Away FT4.5%0.8%–21.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals68.2%
3+ goals36.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.9%
Away18.2%