Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-07 · 11:30
12.9632.2%
X3.2229.6%
22.4938.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benevento
LWLLDDWLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Sampdoria
LWWLDLWLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
2.00
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.40N=10
7.00
Against
5.50
11.80
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
2.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Benevento attack

1.10goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.50
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.30goals per match
Benevento conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
7.00
Corners against
5.50
11.80
Match total
8.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.20
Match total
4.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
29.90
Match total
29.00

Shots

8.00N=10
Shots
7.00N=10
4.20
On target
3.50
14%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.2%32.0%-0.2 pp
Draw29.6%36.0%+6.4 pp
Away38.2%32.0%-6.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS48.0%

Historical average

1.201.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.0%
0-112.0%
2-012.0%
0-012.0%
1-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.324.76
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.536.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away50.0%