League Two · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 15:00
12.7733.4%
X3.5526.1%
22.2940.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swindon
LWWWLDLDWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Chesterfield
DLWWDLWWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.20
Against
3.90
11.90
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
3.10
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.80goals per match
Chesterfield conceded1.10
Matchup

Chesterfield attack

1.40goals per match
Swindon conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.20
Corners against
3.90
11.90
Match total
9.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.40
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
19.50
Match total
20.20

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.60
On target
3.60
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches289
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.4%31.8%-1.6 pp
Draw26.1%29.8%+3.7 pp
Away40.5%38.4%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.533.9%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.331.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.8%
2-29.3%
0-28.0%
1-07.6%
2-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.994.97
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=288.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches76
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.3%17.7%–37.2% CI
Draw FT42.1%31.6%–53.3% CI
Away FT31.6%22.2%–42.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals43.4%
3+ goals9.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.1%
Away50.0%