League Two · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 15:00
11.9447.7%
X3.3727.5%
23.7424.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Gillingham
WLWLDLLLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Shrewsbury
LLLWWWLLLD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.90
2.40
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Against
4.10
9.30
Total
6.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
2.40
Goals conceded
1.50
3.60
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Gillingham attack
1.20goals per matchShrewsbury conceded1.50Matchup
Shrewsbury attack
0.90goals per matchGillingham conceded2.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
1.90N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.10
9.30
Match total
6.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.90
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
21.80
Match total
22.70
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
5.00
On target
2.70
9%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,178
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.7%46.7%-1.1 pp
Draw27.5%29.7%+2.2 pp
Away24.8%23.6%-1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS51.0%
Historical average
1.46–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.2%
1-013.0%
0-09.4%
2-18.8%
2-08.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.61–4.08
Average total9.69
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,178.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.527.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches395
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT36.5%31.9%–41.3% CI
Draw FT41.0%36.3%–45.9% CI
Away FT22.5%18.7%–26.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.9%
2+ goals35.9%
3+ goals11.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.7%
Away39.7%