League Two · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 15:00
12.2341.7%
X3.3527.8%
23.0530.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newport County
WWLDLWLLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Harrogate
LDLLDWLWLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.20
Against
5.80
11.00
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newport County attack
1.00goals per matchHarrogate conceded1.20Matchup
Harrogate attack
1.00goals per matchNewport County conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.80
11.00
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.00
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
20.50
Match total
20.40
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.10
On target
3.40
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,220
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.7%43.2%+1.5 pp
Draw27.8%27.9%+0.1 pp
Away30.5%28.9%-1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS54.8%
Historical average
1.46–1.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.8%
1-010.8%
2-19.7%
0-08.0%
0-17.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.51–4.54
Average total10.05
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,220.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches386
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.2%29.6%–39.1% CI
Draw FT40.7%35.9%–45.6% CI
Away FT25.1%21.1%–29.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.9%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals15.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.7%
Away46.1%