League Two · 2025/26
2026-04-06 · 15:00
13.2828.2%
X3.2928.1%
22.1143.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Barrow
LLLLWLLLDW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Chesterfield
WDDLWWDLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.20
Against
4.40
10.50
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
1.80
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Barrow attack
0.50goals per matchChesterfield conceded1.10Matchup
Chesterfield attack
1.40goals per matchBarrow conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.40
10.50
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.00
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
20.60
Match total
21.30
Shots
11.30N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
2.80
On target
3.90
4%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches699
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%27.0%-1.1 pp
Draw28.1%25.3%-2.7 pp
Away43.8%47.6%+3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS50.5%
Historical average
1.04–1.43
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-114.0%
1-111.9%
1-210.2%
1-09.4%
0-08.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.56–5.15
Average total9.71
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=699.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.527.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches227
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.0%20.7%–32.1% CI
Draw FT37.0%31.0%–43.5% CI
Away FT37.0%31.0%–43.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals15.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.3%
Away55.9%