League Two · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 15:00
12.8332.8%
X3.3627.6%
22.3439.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Swindon
DLWWLWWWLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Milton Keynes Dons
DLWLWDWWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
2.30
1.00
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
2.00
1.50
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.70
Against
3.70
12.50
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
2.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Swindon attack
1.70goals per matchMilton Keynes Dons conceded1.20Matchup
Milton Keynes Dons attack
2.30goals per matchSwindon conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.70
Corners against
3.70
12.50
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.90
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
20.60
Match total
22.30
Shots
12.30N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.00
On target
4.90
14%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches470
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.8%29.6%-3.2 pp
Draw27.6%27.7%+0.1 pp
Away39.6%42.8%+3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.530.9%
BTTS57.7%
Historical average
1.26–1.56
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.2%
1-29.6%
0-18.1%
0-27.7%
1-07.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.72–5.29
Average total10.01
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=469.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches133
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.3%22.3%–37.6% CI
Draw FT35.3%27.7%–43.8% CI
Away FT35.3%27.7%–43.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.2%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals16.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.1%
Away54.1%