League Two · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 12:30
12.0445.5%
X3.4127.2%
23.4027.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Notts County
LWDLWWWWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Chesterfield
DDWDDLWWDL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.30
Against
4.80
9.00
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
2.70
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Notts County attack

1.50goals per match
Chesterfield conceded1.30
Matchup

Chesterfield attack

1.40goals per match
Notts County conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.80
9.00
Match total
8.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.10N=10
4.20
Match total
3.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
22.60
Match total
21.50

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.80
On target
4.20
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches713
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.5%44.9%-0.6 pp
Draw27.2%27.9%+0.7 pp
Away27.3%27.2%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

1.491.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
1-011.2%
2-110.0%
2-07.4%
0-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.584.37
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=713.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches229
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.6%31.5%–44.0% CI
Draw FT34.9%29.1%–41.3% CI
Away FT27.5%22.1%–33.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals18.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.6%
Away49.3%