League Two · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 15:00
11.6257.4%
X3.8124.4%
25.1118.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Port Vale
WWWDWWLWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Gillingham
DLDDLDDDDD
0W 8D 2L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.90
0.50
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.00
Against
3.90
10.10
Total
7.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
0.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Port Vale attack
1.80goals per matchGillingham conceded1.40Matchup
Gillingham attack
0.90goals per matchPort Vale conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.00
Corners against
3.90
10.10
Match total
7.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.30
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.10N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
20.30
Match total
24.50
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.90
On target
3.00
15%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches492
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.4%61.0%+3.6 pp
Draw24.4%21.7%-2.7 pp
Away18.2%17.3%-0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS49.4%
Historical average
1.72–0.88
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.9%
2-110.6%
1-110.4%
2-010.2%
0-05.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.10–3.68
Average total9.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=492.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.0%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.531.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches151
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT51.0%43.1%–58.8% CI
Draw FT33.8%26.7%–41.6% CI
Away FT15.2%10.4%–21.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.8%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals11.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.9%
Away36.4%