League Two · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 15:00
13.1130.0%
X3.4327.2%
22.1842.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Milton Keynes Dons
DLDWLLWLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Grimsby
LLWWDWWLDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.20
Against
6.10
9.80
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.00
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Milton Keynes Dons attack
0.70goals per matchGrimsby conceded1.60Matchup
Grimsby attack
1.50goals per matchMilton Keynes Dons conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.10
9.80
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.40
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
23.80
Match total
25.70
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
3.10
On target
4.50
6%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches590
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.0%27.1%-2.9 pp
Draw27.2%26.6%-0.6 pp
Away42.8%46.3%+3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS56.6%
Historical average
1.15–1.49
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.6%
1-212.2%
0-18.6%
1-08.1%
0-28.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.84–5.16
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=590.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.554.6%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.531.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches169
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.2%21.1%–34.4% CI
Draw FT37.3%30.3%–44.8% CI
Away FT35.5%28.7%–43.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.1%
2+ goals49.1%
3+ goals23.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.7%
Away56.8%