League Two · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 15:00
12.7434.1%
X3.5626.2%
22.3539.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cheltenham
LWWWDDLLLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Carlisle
WLLLWLLLWD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.80
1.60
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.60
1.90
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.40
Against
6.40
9.50
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.90
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cheltenham attack
1.30goals per matchCarlisle conceded1.20Matchup
Carlisle attack
0.80goals per matchCheltenham conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.40
9.50
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.00
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
23.20
Match total
22.50
Shots
12.50N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.20
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches130
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.1%39.2%+5.2 pp
Draw26.2%25.4%-0.8 pp
Away39.7%35.4%-4.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.529.2%
BTTS54.6%
Historical average
1.30–1.38
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-010.8%
2-110.0%
1-110.0%
0-28.5%
0-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.90–4.88
Average total9.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=130.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.530.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.1%22.5%–52.4% CI
Draw FT38.9%24.8%–55.1% CI
Away FT25.0%13.8%–41.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.14
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals5.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away38.9%