League Two · 2024/25
2025-04-21 · 15:00
12.0545.5%
X3.4027.5%
23.4627.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crewe
WLDLWLDLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Milton Keynes Dons
LLDLLLWDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.60
1.50
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.70
Against
4.50
10.30
Total
8.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crewe attack
1.40goals per matchMilton Keynes Dons conceded1.80Matchup
Milton Keynes Dons attack
0.60goals per matchCrewe conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.50
10.30
Match total
8.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.00N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
24.80
Match total
26.10
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
7.10N=10
4.90
On target
2.30
12%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches630
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.5%45.4%-0.2 pp
Draw27.5%27.5%-0.0 pp
Away27.0%27.1%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS54.8%
Historical average
1.51–1.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.8%
1-011.4%
2-19.8%
0-17.8%
1-27.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.62–4.36
Average total9.98
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=630.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches207
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.2%30.9%–44.0% CI
Draw FT33.3%27.3%–40.0% CI
Away FT29.5%23.7%–36.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.49
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.7%
2+ goals42.5%
3+ goals18.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.5%
Away51.7%