League Two · 2024/25
2025-04-18 · 15:00
11.5361.0%
X4.2522.0%
25.4717.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milton Keynes Dons
LDLDWLLWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Newport County
LLLDWLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
2.50
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.90
1.40
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.40
Against
8.00
10.00
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
2.50
2.20
Total goals
3.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Milton Keynes Dons attack

0.70goals per match
Newport County conceded2.50
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.10goals per match
Milton Keynes Dons conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.40
Corners against
8.00
10.00
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.30
Match total
2.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
22.80
Match total
21.60

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
7.00N=10
3.40
On target
2.60
6%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches297
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.0%66.7%+5.7 pp
Draw22.0%16.8%-5.1 pp
Away17.1%16.5%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.538.7%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

2.160.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.8%
2-09.1%
1-18.8%
2-18.1%
4-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.143.72
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=297.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches82
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.4%41.8%–62.9% CI
Draw FT35.4%25.9%–46.2% CI
Away FT12.2%6.8%–21.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.4%
2+ goals45.1%
3+ goals17.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home74.4%
Away39.0%