League Two · 2024/25
2025-04-18 · 15:00
11.8351.0%
X3.6325.7%
24.0123.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Grimsby
WDDWWDLLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Swindon
DDLWWLWDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.60
0.90
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.90
Against
5.00
10.70
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
2.30
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Grimsby attack

1.40goals per match
Swindon conceded1.00
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.60goals per match
Grimsby conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.00
10.70
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.00
Match total
3.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
22.50
Match total
20.40

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.90
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches517
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.0%49.7%-1.3 pp
Draw25.7%26.3%+0.6 pp
Away23.3%24.0%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.525.5%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

1.611.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
2-110.1%
1-09.9%
2-09.3%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.944.30
Average total10.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=517.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.534.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches154
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.9%33.5%–48.8% CI
Draw FT43.5%35.9%–51.4% CI
Away FT15.6%10.7%–22.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.1%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals14.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.1%
Away40.3%