League Two · 2024/25
2025-04-18 · 15:00
13.4227.3%
X3.3428.0%
22.0944.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Carlisle
WLLDDDLWDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Port Vale
LLWDDDDLWW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.30
Against
5.50
10.50
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Carlisle attack

1.20goals per match
Port Vale conceded1.60
Matchup

Port Vale attack

1.40goals per match
Carlisle conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.50
10.50
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.20
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
22.40
Match total
24.20

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.30
On target
3.30
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches491
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.3%24.0%-3.3 pp
Draw28.0%27.7%-0.3 pp
Away44.7%48.3%+3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS50.1%

Historical average

0.991.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.7%
1-111.6%
1-211.4%
0-010.6%
1-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.515.15
Average total9.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=491.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.550.1%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches155
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT17.4%12.3%–24.2% CI
Draw FT42.6%35.1%–50.5% CI
Away FT40.0%32.6%–47.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.5%
2+ goals29.0%
3+ goals12.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home32.3%
Away52.9%