League Two · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 15:00
14.4021.2%
X3.6325.7%
21.7653.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newport County
LWWWDLWWLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Colchester
LWDWDDWWLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
3.80N=10
7.30
Against
5.20
11.30
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.20goals per match
Colchester conceded1.00
Matchup

Colchester attack

1.10goals per match
Newport County conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
7.30
Corners against
5.20
11.30
Match total
9.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.30
Match total
3.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
21.30
Match total
22.80

Shots

9.40N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.00
On target
3.20
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches98
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.2%19.4%-1.8 pp
Draw25.7%27.6%+1.8 pp
Away53.1%53.1%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.514.3%
BTTS43.9%

Historical average

0.771.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.3%
0-113.3%
0-213.3%
0-310.2%
0-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.035.74
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=98.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.8%13.7%–43.2% CI
Draw FT38.7%23.7%–56.2% CI
Away FT35.5%21.1%–53.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.0%
2+ goals25.8%
3+ goals9.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.7%
Away48.4%