League Two · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 15:00
14.4021.2%
X3.6325.7%
21.7653.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newport County
LWWWDLWWLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Colchester
LWDWDDWWLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.00N=10
For
3.80N=10
7.30
Against
5.20
11.30
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newport County attack
1.20goals per matchColchester conceded1.00Matchup
Colchester attack
1.10goals per matchNewport County conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
7.30
Corners against
5.20
11.30
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.30
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.70N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
21.30
Match total
22.80
Shots
9.40N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.00
On target
3.20
13%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches98
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.2%19.4%-1.8 pp
Draw25.7%27.6%+1.8 pp
Away53.1%53.1%+0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.514.3%
BTTS43.9%
Historical average
0.77–1.48
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.3%
0-113.3%
0-213.3%
0-310.2%
0-09.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.03–5.74
Average total9.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=98.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.530.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.8%13.7%–43.2% CI
Draw FT38.7%23.7%–56.2% CI
Away FT35.5%21.1%–53.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.06
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.0%
2+ goals25.8%
3+ goals9.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.7%
Away48.4%