League Two · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 15:00
12.3040.5%
X3.4427.1%
22.8832.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Morecambe
WLWWLLWDWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Carlisle
LLWLLLWLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
6.20
Against
6.70
10.90
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Morecambe attack

1.40goals per match
Carlisle conceded1.50
Matchup

Carlisle attack

0.70goals per match
Morecambe conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
6.20
Corners against
6.70
10.90
Match total
11.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.30
Match total
4.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
27.30
Match total
21.20

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.90
On target
3.90
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches735
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.5%43.0%+2.5 pp
Draw27.1%27.5%+0.4 pp
Away32.4%29.5%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS55.1%

Historical average

1.481.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
1-09.9%
2-19.5%
0-18.0%
0-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.464.69
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=735.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches222
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.4%31.3%–43.9% CI
Draw FT39.6%33.4%–46.2% CI
Away FT23.0%17.9%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals40.1%
3+ goals13.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.6%
Away42.8%