League Two · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 15:00
12.3040.5%
X3.4427.1%
22.8832.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Morecambe
WLWWLLWDWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Carlisle
LLWLLLWLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
6.20
Against
6.70
10.90
Total
11.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Morecambe attack
1.40goals per matchCarlisle conceded1.50Matchup
Carlisle attack
0.70goals per matchMorecambe conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
6.20
Corners against
6.70
10.90
Match total
11.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.30
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
27.30
Match total
21.20
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.90
On target
3.90
11%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches735
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.5%43.0%+2.5 pp
Draw27.1%27.5%+0.4 pp
Away32.4%29.5%-2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS55.1%
Historical average
1.48–1.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.4%
1-09.9%
2-19.5%
0-18.0%
0-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.46–4.69
Average total10.16
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=735.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.532.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches222
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.4%31.3%–43.9% CI
Draw FT39.6%33.4%–46.2% CI
Away FT23.0%17.9%–28.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals40.1%
3+ goals13.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.6%
Away42.8%