League Two · 2024/25
2025-04-08 · 19:45
11.8051.9%
X3.4826.8%
24.3921.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chesterfield
WWLDWWLWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Gillingham
LDDLDDLDDD
0W 7D 3L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.20
Against
3.30
10.80
Total
7.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Chesterfield attack

1.90goals per match
Gillingham conceded1.40
Matchup

Gillingham attack

0.80goals per match
Chesterfield conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.30
10.80
Match total
7.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.50
Match total
5.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
19.60
Match total
24.90

Shots

17.50N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.90
On target
2.70
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches445
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.9%53.5%+1.6 pp
Draw26.8%28.3%+1.5 pp
Away21.3%18.2%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS50.6%

Historical average

1.540.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.4%
1-113.3%
2-112.6%
2-09.7%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.624.02
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=445.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches136
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.4%32.6%–48.8% CI
Draw FT42.6%34.6%–51.0% CI
Away FT16.9%11.5%–24.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals11.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.6%
Away41.9%