League Two · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 15:00
11.6457.0%
X3.8324.4%
25.0218.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Grimsby
WWDDWWDLLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Morecambe
LWLLLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.30
0.90
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.50
1.50
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.60
Against
6.20
10.20
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.20
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Grimsby attack
1.30goals per matchMorecambe conceded1.30Matchup
Morecambe attack
0.30goals per matchGrimsby conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.20
10.20
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.20N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
21.80
Match total
25.00
Shots
13.50N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.40
On target
2.90
10%
Conversion
3%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches539
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.0%60.3%+3.3 pp
Draw24.4%22.6%-1.8 pp
Away18.6%17.1%-1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS50.8%
Historical average
1.74–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.4%
2-112.2%
1-110.4%
2-010.0%
0-06.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.09–3.72
Average total9.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=539.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.9%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.531.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches165
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT49.7%42.2%–57.2% CI
Draw FT35.2%28.3%–42.7% CI
Away FT15.2%10.5%–21.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals39.4%
3+ goals14.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away38.2%