League Two · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 15:00
13.0231.0%
X3.1929.3%
22.3639.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Colchester
WDLWWDWWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Notts County
LWWWWLDLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.80
0.80
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
2.80
Against
3.40
7.80
Total
7.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
2.20
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Colchester attack
1.40goals per matchNotts County conceded1.20Matchup
Notts County attack
1.80goals per matchColchester conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
2.80
Corners against
3.40
7.80
Match total
7.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.80
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
26.40
Match total
20.50
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
3.60
On target
3.90
13%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches671
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.0%32.9%+1.9 pp
Draw29.3%23.5%-5.8 pp
Away39.7%43.5%+3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS47.4%
Historical average
1.10–1.35
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.9%
0-111.9%
1-011.6%
1-28.3%
0-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.71–5.03
Average total9.74
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=671.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.1%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.527.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches224
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.6%26.8%–39.0% CI
Draw FT33.9%28.0%–40.4% CI
Away FT33.5%27.6%–39.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.1%
2+ goals40.6%
3+ goals15.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.3%
Away50.0%