League Two · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 15:00
11.7154.4%
X3.7824.6%
24.4520.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Carlisle
LWLLDDDLWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Newport County
DLLLDWLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.60
Against
8.30
11.20
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
2.20
2.30
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Carlisle attack

0.90goals per match
Newport County conceded2.20
Matchup

Newport County attack

0.90goals per match
Carlisle conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
4.60
Corners against
8.30
11.20
Match total
11.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.20
Match total
2.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
22.60
Match total
22.10

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
6.30N=10
3.90
On target
1.90
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches640
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.4%58.8%+4.3 pp
Draw24.6%23.8%-0.9 pp
Away20.9%17.5%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

1.780.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.1%
1-012.0%
1-111.1%
2-010.5%
0-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.063.93
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=640.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches183
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT47.5%40.4%–54.8% CI
Draw FT34.4%27.9%–41.6% CI
Away FT18.0%13.1%–24.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals17.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.7%
Away39.3%