League Two · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 15:00
11.7154.4%
X3.7824.6%
24.4520.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Carlisle
LWLLDDDLWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Newport County
DLLLDWLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.60
Against
8.30
11.20
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
2.20
2.30
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Carlisle attack
0.90goals per matchNewport County conceded2.20Matchup
Newport County attack
0.90goals per matchCarlisle conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
4.60
Corners against
8.30
11.20
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.20
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
22.60
Match total
22.10
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
6.30N=10
3.90
On target
1.90
8%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches640
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.4%58.8%+4.3 pp
Draw24.6%23.8%-0.9 pp
Away20.9%17.5%-3.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS51.7%
Historical average
1.78–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.1%
1-012.0%
1-111.1%
2-010.5%
0-06.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.06–3.93
Average total9.99
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=640.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.530.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches183
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT47.5%40.4%–54.8% CI
Draw FT34.4%27.9%–41.6% CI
Away FT18.0%13.1%–24.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals17.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.7%
Away39.3%