League Two · 2024/25
2025-04-01 · 19:45
11.7254.5%
X3.7125.3%
24.6220.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Chesterfield
WWWLDWWLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Carlisle
DLLWLLLWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.10
Against
5.60
9.90
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Chesterfield attack
1.80goals per matchCarlisle conceded1.30Matchup
Carlisle attack
0.60goals per matchChesterfield conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.60
9.90
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.80
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
20.00
Match total
23.30
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.70
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches711
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.5%57.1%+2.6 pp
Draw25.3%24.6%-0.6 pp
Away20.3%18.3%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS50.9%
Historical average
1.72–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.1%
1-013.1%
1-111.1%
2-09.8%
0-07.2%
Comparable corner averages
6.02–3.94
Average total9.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=711.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.530.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches215
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT45.1%38.6%–51.8% CI
Draw FT37.7%31.5%–44.3% CI
Away FT17.2%12.8%–22.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals15.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.4%
Away39.5%