League Two · 2024/25
2025-04-01 · 19:45
11.7254.5%
X3.7125.3%
24.6220.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chesterfield
WWWLDWWLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Carlisle
DLLWLLLWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.10
Against
5.60
9.90
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Chesterfield attack

1.80goals per match
Carlisle conceded1.30
Matchup

Carlisle attack

0.60goals per match
Chesterfield conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.60
9.90
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.80
Match total
5.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
20.00
Match total
23.30

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.70
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches711
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.5%57.1%+2.6 pp
Draw25.3%24.6%-0.6 pp
Away20.3%18.3%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.720.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.1%
1-013.1%
1-111.1%
2-09.8%
0-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.023.94
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=711.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.530.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches215
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT45.1%38.6%–51.8% CI
Draw FT37.7%31.5%–44.3% CI
Away FT17.2%12.8%–22.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals15.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.4%
Away39.5%