League Two · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 15:00
13.2328.9%
X3.4127.4%
22.1443.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Morecambe
LLWLWWLLWD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Swindon
LLDDLWWLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
6.20
Against
5.60
10.60
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Morecambe attack

1.10goals per match
Swindon conceded1.40
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.20goals per match
Morecambe conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.60
10.60
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.80
Match total
3.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
26.60
Match total
20.70

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
3.20
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches534
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.9%27.2%-1.8 pp
Draw27.4%27.0%-0.4 pp
Away43.7%45.9%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

1.121.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
1-211.4%
0-19.0%
0-28.2%
0-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.725.14
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=534.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches158
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT24.1%18.1%–31.3% CI
Draw FT39.2%32.0%–47.0% CI
Away FT36.7%29.6%–44.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.8%
2+ goals47.5%
3+ goals20.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.1%
Away57.6%