League Two · 2024/25
2025-03-25 · 19:45
12.3939.1%
X3.3927.6%
22.8133.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Carlisle
LLWLLDDDLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Milton Keynes Dons
WLLLLDLLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.50
Against
4.90
11.20
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.90
2.10
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Carlisle attack
0.70goals per matchMilton Keynes Dons conceded1.90Matchup
Milton Keynes Dons attack
0.90goals per matchCarlisle conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.90
11.20
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.50
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
22.80
Match total
25.80
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
3.90
On target
2.90
6%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches359
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.1%37.9%-1.2 pp
Draw27.6%27.9%+0.3 pp
Away33.3%34.3%+1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS52.6%
Historical average
1.32–1.19
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.5%
0-110.6%
1-210.3%
1-010.3%
0-07.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.25–4.57
Average total9.82
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=359.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.527.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches118
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.5%22.9%–39.3% CI
Draw FT35.6%27.5%–44.6% CI
Away FT33.9%26.0%–42.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.1%
2+ goals44.9%
3+ goals19.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away53.4%