League Two · 2024/25
2025-03-22 · 15:00
12.1643.0%
X3.3927.4%
23.1529.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cheltenham
DWWLWWWDDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Milton Keynes Dons
LWLLLLDLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
2.50
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.80
2.30
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.60N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.60
Against
4.60
9.20
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
2.50
3.10
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cheltenham attack
1.70goals per matchMilton Keynes Dons conceded2.50Matchup
Milton Keynes Dons attack
1.10goals per matchCheltenham conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.60
9.20
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.60
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.70
Match total
25.80
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
7.20N=10
4.70
On target
2.80
14%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,040
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%44.3%+1.3 pp
Draw27.4%28.6%+1.1 pp
Away29.5%27.1%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS53.5%
Historical average
1.48–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.4%
1-011.5%
2-19.5%
0-08.4%
0-17.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.61–4.51
Average total10.13
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,040.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches322
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.2%29.2%–39.5% CI
Draw FT40.7%35.5%–46.1% CI
Away FT25.2%20.7%–30.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals36.3%
3+ goals13.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.7%
Away43.8%