League Two · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 15:00
12.8233.0%
X3.1329.7%
22.4937.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newport County
DWLLWWWDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Harrogate
LLLDWLLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.60
1.20
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
6.90
Against
6.70
10.50
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
1.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.50goals per match
Harrogate conceded1.30
Matchup

Harrogate attack

0.60goals per match
Newport County conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
6.90
Corners against
6.70
10.50
Match total
11.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.20
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
23.70
Match total
23.30

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.40
On target
3.00
13%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches661
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.0%31.6%-1.3 pp
Draw29.7%30.7%+1.0 pp
Away37.3%37.7%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

1.151.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.3%
0-112.1%
0-011.0%
2-19.4%
1-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.734.82
Average total9.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=661.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.8%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.536.3%
Over 11.526.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches229
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.9%22.5%–34.1% CI
Draw FT45.0%38.7%–51.5% CI
Away FT27.1%21.7%–33.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.1%
2+ goals32.3%
3+ goals14.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.2%
Away48.5%