League Two · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 15:00
13.1030.0%
X2.9731.3%
22.4038.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Carlisle
DDLLWLLDDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
AFC Wimbledon
WWLWDDDDDL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
0.50
20%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.60
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
0.60
60%
Goal in 2H
40%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.60
Against
5.90
10.40
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
0.50
1.70
Total goals
1.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Carlisle attack
0.50goals per matchAFC Wimbledon conceded0.50Matchup
AFC Wimbledon attack
0.90goals per matchCarlisle conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.90
10.40
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.40
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
23.10
Match total
23.70
Shots
10.20N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.20
On target
3.00
5%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches158
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.0%28.5%-1.5 pp
Draw31.3%29.7%-1.5 pp
Away38.7%41.8%+3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.554.4%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.6%
BTTS40.5%
Historical average
0.93–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-120.9%
1-012.7%
0-012.0%
1-110.8%
1-29.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.54–4.59
Average total9.13
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=158.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.538.0%
Over 10.529.7%
Over 11.520.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches63
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.4%16.3%–37.3% CI
Draw FT42.9%31.4%–55.1% CI
Away FT31.7%21.6%–44.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.02
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.8%
2+ goals23.8%
3+ goals7.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.3%
Away46.0%