League Two · 2024/25
2025-03-11 · 19:45
12.4837.6%
X3.2328.9%
22.7833.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Salford
WWWWLDDWLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Chesterfield
LLWLLDLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.80
Against
5.50
7.90
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Salford attack
1.70goals per matchChesterfield conceded1.60Matchup
Chesterfield attack
0.60goals per matchSalford conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.50
7.90
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.80
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
25.20
Match total
23.90
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
5.20
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches778
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.6%36.9%-0.7 pp
Draw28.9%28.0%-0.8 pp
Away33.5%35.1%+1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS54.1%
Historical average
1.29–1.24
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.8%
1-010.7%
1-29.8%
0-19.6%
2-17.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.12–4.64
Average total9.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=778.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.526.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches252
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.5%27.1%–38.5% CI
Draw FT37.3%31.6%–43.4% CI
Away FT30.2%24.8%–36.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals17.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.4%
Away53.6%