League Two · 2024/25
2025-03-11 · 19:45
11.7553.3%
X3.4826.8%
24.6919.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Accrington
DDLLWLDDLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Newport County
DDDLLLDWLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
0.90
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.40
Against
8.80
9.20
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Accrington attack

0.90goals per match
Newport County conceded1.80
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.10goals per match
Accrington conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
5.40
Corners against
8.80
9.20
Match total
11.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.90
Match total
2.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
25.50
Match total
22.60

Shots

8.00N=10
Shots
6.60N=10
2.50
On target
2.40
11%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches507
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.3%60.4%+7.1 pp
Draw26.8%23.7%-3.1 pp
Away19.9%16.0%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS46.7%

Historical average

1.720.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.2%
2-012.8%
2-112.0%
1-110.8%
0-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.954.07
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=507.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.534.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches161
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT44.7%37.3%–52.4% CI
Draw FT38.5%31.3%–46.2% CI
Away FT16.8%11.8%–23.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals41.6%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.6%
Away37.3%