League Two · 2024/25
2025-03-11 · 19:45
11.7553.3%
X3.4826.8%
24.6919.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Accrington
DDLLWLDDLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Newport County
DDDLLLDWLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.60
0.90
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.40
Against
8.80
9.20
Total
11.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Accrington attack
0.90goals per matchNewport County conceded1.80Matchup
Newport County attack
1.10goals per matchAccrington conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
5.40
Corners against
8.80
9.20
Match total
11.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.90
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
25.50
Match total
22.60
Shots
8.00N=10
Shots
6.60N=10
2.50
On target
2.40
11%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches507
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.3%60.4%+7.1 pp
Draw26.8%23.7%-3.1 pp
Away19.9%16.0%-3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS46.7%
Historical average
1.72–0.80
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.2%
2-012.8%
2-112.0%
1-110.8%
0-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.95–4.07
Average total10.03
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=507.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.534.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches161
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT44.7%37.3%–52.4% CI
Draw FT38.5%31.3%–46.2% CI
Away FT16.8%11.8%–23.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals41.6%
3+ goals11.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.6%
Away37.3%