League Two · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 15:00
11.8251.5%
X4.0223.3%
23.7325.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swindon
DWDLWDLLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Morecambe
WWWDLWLLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
2.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.60
Against
6.00
9.90
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
2.10
3.10
Total goals
3.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.70goals per match
Morecambe conceded2.10
Matchup

Morecambe attack

1.70goals per match
Swindon conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.00
9.90
Match total
10.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.20
Match total
4.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
20.50
Match total
23.30

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.50
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.5%58.5%+7.0 pp
Draw23.3%14.6%-8.7 pp
Away25.1%26.8%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.595.1%
Over 2.570.7%
Over 3.556.1%
BTTS73.2%

Historical average

2.241.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.6%
1-39.8%
3-27.3%
1-17.3%
3-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.954.44
Average total10.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.5%
Over 9.565.9%
Over 10.546.3%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.1%30.7%–66.0% CI
Draw FT40.7%24.5%–59.3% CI
Away FT11.1%3.9%–28.1% CI

Remaining goals

2.04

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.2%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.8%
Away48.1%