League Two · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:00
13.4227.4%
X3.6325.9%
22.0146.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newport County
DWWLWLWLLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Salford
LWDWDLLWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.10
1.80
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.70
1.80
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.10
Against
4.80
10.00
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.80
Goals conceded
1.90
3.10
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newport County attack
1.30goals per matchSalford conceded1.90Matchup
Salford attack
1.10goals per matchNewport County conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.80
10.00
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.60
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
21.00
Match total
23.20
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
15.70N=10
3.60
On target
5.70
11%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches162
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.4%22.8%-4.6 pp
Draw25.9%23.5%-2.4 pp
Away46.7%53.7%+7.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.6%
BTTS58.0%
Historical average
1.13–1.83
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.1%
1-210.5%
1-09.9%
0-18.0%
1-36.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.33–5.49
Average total9.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=162.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.526.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.4%13.6%–37.2% CI
Draw FT31.9%20.4%–46.2% CI
Away FT44.7%31.4%–58.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.81
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.0%
2+ goals53.2%
3+ goals34.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.7%
Away66.0%