League Two · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:00
13.4227.4%
X3.6325.9%
22.0146.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newport County
DWWLWLWLLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Salford
LWDWDLLWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
1.80
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.70
1.80
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.10
Against
4.80
10.00
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.80
Goals conceded
1.90
3.10
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.30goals per match
Salford conceded1.90
Matchup

Salford attack

1.10goals per match
Newport County conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.80
10.00
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.60
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
21.00
Match total
23.20

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
15.70N=10
3.60
On target
5.70
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches162
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.4%22.8%-4.6 pp
Draw25.9%23.5%-2.4 pp
Away46.7%53.7%+7.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.6%
BTTS58.0%

Historical average

1.131.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.1%
1-210.5%
1-09.9%
0-18.0%
1-36.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.335.49
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=162.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.526.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.4%13.6%–37.2% CI
Draw FT31.9%20.4%–46.2% CI
Away FT44.7%31.4%–58.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.0%
2+ goals53.2%
3+ goals34.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.7%
Away66.0%