League Two · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:00
12.1044.7%
X3.4926.9%
23.3128.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Morecambe
DLWDWLLWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Forest Green
DDWLLWLWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
6.20
Against
5.80
11.30
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Morecambe attack
0.90goals per matchForest Green conceded1.70Matchup
Forest Green attack
1.10goals per matchMorecambe conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.80
11.30
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.60
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
23.00
Match total
19.80
Shots
11.30N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
3.20
On target
3.30
8%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches555
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.7%45.4%+0.7 pp
Draw26.9%29.9%+3.0 pp
Away28.4%24.7%-3.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS55.0%
Historical average
1.54–1.10
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.4%
1-011.0%
2-18.1%
2-07.9%
0-07.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.54–4.30
Average total9.84
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=555.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.529.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches167
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.3%28.5%–42.8% CI
Draw FT42.5%35.3%–50.1% CI
Away FT22.2%16.5%–29.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.4%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals16.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.1%
Away47.9%