League Two · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:00
11.9548.2%
X3.6925.5%
23.5726.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Grimsby
LDLLLWWLDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Swindon
LLLLDDLLWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.20
2.50
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.40
Against
5.90
10.40
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
2.50
Goals conceded
1.90
3.90
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Grimsby attack

1.40goals per match
Swindon conceded1.90
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.20goals per match
Grimsby conceded2.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.90
10.40
Match total
11.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.00
Match total
3.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
26.30
Match total
21.00

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
3.40
On target
5.30
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches299
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.2%49.2%+1.0 pp
Draw25.5%27.4%+2.0 pp
Away26.3%23.4%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.529.8%
BTTS56.2%

Historical average

1.631.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
1-010.4%
2-110.0%
2-010.0%
0-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.724.44
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=299.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.555.5%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.6%28.8%–49.3% CI
Draw FT41.0%31.0%–51.7% CI
Away FT20.5%13.2%–30.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.7%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals15.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.4%
Away42.2%