League Two · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:00
11.9548.2%
X3.6925.5%
23.5726.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Grimsby
LDLLLWWLDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Swindon
LLLLDDLLWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.20
2.50
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
80%
By half
2.10
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.40
Against
5.90
10.40
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
2.50
Goals conceded
1.90
3.90
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Grimsby attack
1.40goals per matchSwindon conceded1.90Matchup
Swindon attack
1.20goals per matchGrimsby conceded2.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.90
10.40
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.00
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
26.30
Match total
21.00
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
3.40
On target
5.30
12%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches299
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.2%49.2%+1.0 pp
Draw25.5%27.4%+2.0 pp
Away26.3%23.4%-2.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.529.8%
BTTS56.2%
Historical average
1.63–1.14
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.0%
1-010.4%
2-110.0%
2-010.0%
0-07.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.72–4.44
Average total10.16
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=299.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.555.5%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.531.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.6%28.8%–49.3% CI
Draw FT41.0%31.0%–51.7% CI
Away FT20.5%13.2%–30.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.35
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.7%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals15.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.4%
Away42.2%