League Two · 2023/24
2024-04-16 · 19:45
11.3370.6%
X5.2317.9%
28.1811.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mansfield
LDWWWLWDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Accrington
DWLDLLWLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.60
Against
6.20
13.10
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.90
3.70
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Mansfield attack

2.30goals per match
Accrington conceded1.90
Matchup

Accrington attack

1.10goals per match
Mansfield conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.60
Corners against
6.20
13.10
Match total
9.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.40
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
19.50
Match total
24.20

Shots

20.30N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
7.20
On target
3.30
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches166
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.6%73.5%+2.9 pp
Draw17.9%19.3%+1.3 pp
Away11.5%7.2%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.568.7%
Over 3.536.7%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

2.390.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-014.5%
2-114.5%
2-012.0%
2-29.0%
1-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

7.193.38
Average total10.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=166.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.9%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.547.6%
Over 11.537.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%46.6%–77.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%19.8%–50.4% CI
Away FT3.0%0.5%–15.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals60.6%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.8%
Away33.3%