League Two · 2023/24
2024-04-16 · 19:45
12.1943.0%
X3.3528.1%
23.2529.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Colchester
LWLDDDDWLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Grimsby
LWDDDDDLLW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
30%
90%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
0.90
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.30
Against
6.60
10.30
Total
12.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
0.90
2.80
Total goals
1.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
90%9/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Colchester attack

1.30goals per match
Grimsby conceded0.90
Matchup

Grimsby attack

1.00goals per match
Colchester conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.60
10.30
Match total
12.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.50
Match total
2.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
22.70
Match total
24.70

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
4.20
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches897
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%44.6%+1.6 pp
Draw28.1%29.0%+0.9 pp
Away29.0%26.4%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.511.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
1-010.8%
2-19.1%
0-08.9%
2-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.624.40
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=897.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches279
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.4%29.1%–40.2% CI
Draw FT41.2%35.6%–47.1% CI
Away FT24.4%19.7%–29.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals37.6%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.7%
Away42.7%