League Two · 2023/24
2024-04-16 · 19:45
12.1943.0%
X3.3528.1%
23.2529.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Colchester
LWLDDDDWLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Grimsby
LWDDDDDLLW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
30%
90%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
0.90
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.30
Against
6.60
10.30
Total
12.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
0.90
2.80
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Colchester attack
1.30goals per matchGrimsby conceded0.90Matchup
Grimsby attack
1.00goals per matchColchester conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.60
10.30
Match total
12.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.50
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
22.70
Match total
24.70
Shots
13.50N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
4.20
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches897
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%44.6%+1.6 pp
Draw28.1%29.0%+0.9 pp
Away29.0%26.4%-2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS53.8%
Historical average
1.51–1.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.5%
1-010.8%
2-19.1%
0-08.9%
2-07.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.62–4.40
Average total10.02
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=897.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.530.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches279
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.4%29.1%–40.2% CI
Draw FT41.2%35.6%–47.1% CI
Away FT24.4%19.7%–29.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals37.6%
3+ goals15.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.7%
Away42.7%