League Two · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 15:00
12.9132.3%
X3.5626.4%
22.2841.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newport County
WDWWLWLWLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Tranmere
WWLWLLLDWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.30
1.80
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.10
2.20
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.80
Against
5.30
10.40
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.80
Goals conceded
1.20
3.40
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newport County attack
1.60goals per matchTranmere conceded1.20Matchup
Tranmere attack
1.30goals per matchNewport County conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.30
10.40
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.90
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.20N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
21.60
Match total
19.50
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.00
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches325
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.3%32.0%-0.3 pp
Draw26.4%30.2%+3.7 pp
Away41.3%37.8%-3.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.9%
BTTS58.2%
Historical average
1.30–1.55
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.9%
2-28.3%
2-17.7%
1-07.7%
1-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.00–5.07
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=324.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.557.4%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.532.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches96
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%17.4%–34.5% CI
Draw FT40.6%31.3%–50.6% CI
Away FT34.4%25.6%–44.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.8%
Away56.3%