League Two · 2023/24
2024-04-09 · 19:45
12.6335.7%
X3.3627.9%
22.5836.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Morecambe
DDLWDWLLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Crewe
DWWDWWLLDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.70
Against
5.60
11.00
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
0.90
2.60
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Morecambe attack

1.10goals per match
Crewe conceded0.90
Matchup

Crewe attack

1.20goals per match
Morecambe conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.60
11.00
Match total
10.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.00
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
22.90
Match total
21.90

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
3.60
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches533
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.7%34.3%-1.4 pp
Draw27.9%26.3%-1.7 pp
Away36.4%39.4%+3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.528.0%
BTTS57.8%

Historical average

1.321.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
1-210.3%
1-09.0%
0-18.8%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.044.86
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=533.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches151
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.5%25.5%–40.3% CI
Draw FT31.8%24.9%–39.6% CI
Away FT35.8%28.6%–43.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.1%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals19.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.7%
Away53.6%