League Two · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:00
11.8550.8%
X4.1322.8%
23.5626.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Notts County
LWWDLLLLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Harrogate
DWWDLDDDDD
2W 7D 1L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.10
2.00
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.10
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.50
Against
7.20
10.90
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.10
2.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.90
Total goals
2.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Notts County attack

1.90goals per match
Harrogate conceded1.50
Matchup

Harrogate attack

1.10goals per match
Notts County conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
7.20
10.90
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.60
Match total
3.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

7.90N=10
Committed
8.30N=10
20.30
Match total
19.10

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.40
On target
2.10
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.8%52.2%+1.4 pp
Draw22.8%13.0%-9.7 pp
Away26.4%34.8%+8.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.539.1%
BTTS52.2%

Historical average

1.781.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.0%
1-08.7%
1-28.7%
0-18.7%
4-28.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.354.52
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.2%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.547.8%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away50.0%